By 2032, more countries will include media literacy explicitly in national school curricula

Prediction: by 2032, a larger number of countries than today will name media literacy, the ability to access, analyse and evaluate media messages, as an explicit part of their national school curriculum, with time allocated to it and teachers trained to teach it.

Reasoning: concern about misleading information, along with the amount of time young people spend online, has made the skill a political priority in many places. International education goals include teaching the knowledge and skills needed for responsible citizenship, which gives governments a reason to act.

Confidence: moderate, about 60 percent that the number rises. The harder question is whether it is taught well and assessed.

What would prove us wrong: if the number of countries naming it in their curriculum does not rise, or if inclusion is only symbolic, with no lesson time and no training.

How to check: review national curriculum documents in 2026 and 2032 for named outcomes, lesson time and teacher-training requirements.