Topic
Future & Forecasts
Dated, falsifiable predictions and the reasoning behind them.
Why it matters
A forecast with a date can be checked; a vague one cannot. Writing predictions down in public builds a record of who reasons well about the future.
Writing here
State a time horizon, a confidence level and what would prove you wrong.
Open prompts in Future & Forecasts
Future & ForecastsPrediction
Make a falsifiable prediction for 2030 — and say how we will know if you were right.Write your answer Future & ForecastsPrediction
How might education change by 2040?Write your answer Future & ForecastsQuestion
What should never change, even as everything else does?Write your answer Future & ForecastsPerspective
Which forecast of the past twenty years aged worst, and what did it miss?Write your answer
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